2015 Tony Award Predictions

Chris Peterson

Excitement is building for Broadway's biggest night, not just because it's the Tonys but this year features some of the tightest and most unpredictable races in years. While many are deserving in each category, here are our picks for who will be coming home with a trophy in hand.


Best Scenic Design of a Play

Bunny Christie and Finn Ross, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Bob Crowley, Skylight
Christopher Oram, Wolf Hall Parts One & Two
David Rockwell, You Can’t Take It with You 

Will Win: Bunny Christie and Finn Ross, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time

The work of Christie and Foss was a revelation of creativity and innovation that doesn't come around often. No surprises in this one. 

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Bob Crowley and 59 Productions, An American in Paris
David Rockwell, On the Twentieth Century
Michael Yeargan, The King and I
David Zinn, Fun Home

Will Win: David Rockwell, On the Twentieth Century

While Crowley is probably the odd on favorite, I still think Rockwell's work stands out more and will secure one of the few wins On the Twentieth Century will see Sunday night. However the real winner here should be Zinn for some incredibly inventive design in Circle in the Square. 

Best Costume Design of a Play

Bob Crowley, The Audience
Jane Greenwood, You Can’t Take It with You
Christopher Oram, Wolf Hall Parts One & Two
David Zinn, Airline Highway

Will Win: Christopher Oram, Wolf Hall Parts One & Two

This is the only category we're picking for Wolf Hall Parts One & Two given Oram's work. But if you ask us, Crowley deserves it for his tapestry of garments for the Queen. 

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Something Rotten!
Bob Crowley, An American in Paris
William Ivey Long, On the Twentieth Century
Catherine Zuber, The King and I

Will Win: Catherine Zuber, The King and I

Tough one to call when all of the nominees are period costumes, but I think Zuber edges out for her excellent work with The King and I.

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Paule Constable, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Paule Constable and David Plater, Wolf Hall Parts One & Two
Natasha Katz, Skylight
Japhy Weideman, Airline Highway

Will Win: Paule Constable, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time

Again, no surprises here. Constable's work is a masterpiece to see on stage. 

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Donald Holder, The King and I
Natasha Katz, An American in Paris
Ben Stanton, Fun Home
Japhy Weideman, The Visit

 

Will Win: Natasha Katz, An American in Paris

Another tough one to call but Katz work on Paris should make her take this one by a nose. 


Best Book of a Musical

An American in Paris, Craig Lucas
Fun Home, Lisa Kron
Something Rotten!, Karey Kirkpatrick and John O’Farrell
The Visit, Terrence McNally

Will Win: Fun Home, Lisa Kron

What Lisa Kron did with Alison Bechdel's graphic novel is a wonder. While in any other year I would probably give it to McNally, this is Kron's year. 

Best Original Score

Fun Home, Music: Jeanine Tesori; Lyrics: Lisa Kron
The Last Ship, Music & Lyrics: Sting
Something Rotten!, Music & Lyrics: Wayne Kirkpatrick and Karey Kirkpatrick
The Visit, Music: John Kander; Lyrics: Fred Ebb

Will Win: Fun Home, Music: Jeanine Tesori; Lyrics: Lisa Kron

Will this finally be the year Tesori's work is recognized? I think so. While Violet and Caroline or Change are fantastic, Fun Home is a whole other level of brilliance. We're getting the best of Jeanine Tesori in one show, let's hope Tony voters realize that.

Best Direction of a Play

Stephen Daldry, Skylight
Marianne Elliott, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Scott Ellis, You Can’t Take It with You
Jeremy Herrin, Wolf Hall Parts One & Two
Moritz von Stuelpnagel, Hand to God 

Will Win: Marianne Elliott, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time

Don't be surprised if Moritz von Stuelpnagel walks up on stage either in this incredibly tight race. 

Best Direction of a Musical

Sam Gold, Fun Home
Casey Nicholaw, Something Rotten!
John Rando, On the Town
Bartlett Sher, The King and I
Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris

Will Win: Sam Gold, Fun Home

Tough call on this one. I'm going to go with Sam Gold on this one because I think we'll see Wheeldon win for Best Choreography, but it wouldn't shock me with Wheeldon takes home both trophies. 

Best Choreography

Joshua Bergasse, On the Town
Christopher Gattelli, The King and I
Scott Graham & Steven Hoggett for Frantic Assembly, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Casey Nicholaw, Something Rotten!
Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris

Will Win: Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris

For a while Bergasse would have been the favorite, but Wheeldon's work on Paris is stunning and a revelation, it's his to lose. 


Best Orchestrations

Christopher Austin, Don Sebesky, Bill Elliott, An American in Paris
John Clancy, Fun Home
Larry Hochman, Something Rotten!
Rob Mathes, The Last Ship

Will Win: Rob Mathes, The Last Ship

I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that this will be the only time you'll see a win for The Last Ship

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Christian Borle, Something Rotten!
Andy Karl, On the Twentieth Century
Brad Oscar, Something Rotten!
Brandon Uranowitz, An American in Paris
Max von Essen, An American in Paris

Will Win: Brad Oscar, Something Rotten!

There is something to be said when you bring the entire house down with one song and for that, and many other reasons, Brad Oscar should be rehearsing his acceptance speech right now. 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Victoria Clark, Gigi
Judy Kuhn, Fun Home
Sydney Lucas, Fun Home
Ruthie Ann Miles, The King and I
Emily Skeggs, Fun Home

Will Win: Judy Kuhn, Fun Home

While the Asian in me would love to see Ruthie Ann Miles ascend the Tony stage, this is Fun Home's category. My bet is on Kuhn but Sydney Lucas is a strong contender as well. 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

Matthew Beard, Skylight
K. Todd Freeman, Airline Highway
Richard McCabe, The Audience
Alessandro Nivola, The Elephant Man
Nathaniel Parker, Wolf Hall: Parts One & Two
Micah Stock, It’s Only a Play

Will Win: Micah Stock, It’s Only a Play

Does anyone else think it's strange this is the only category with 6 nominees? While Parker might be the favorite, Stock carries the star studded show on his won. It's not everyday you out shine the likes of Nathan Lane, Matthew Broderick and Stockard Channing. 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Annaleigh Ashford, You Can’t Take It with You
Patricia Clarkson, The Elephant Man
Lydia Leonard, Wolf Hall: Parts One & Two
Sarah Stiles, Hand to God
Julie White, Airline Highway 

Will Win: Julie White, Airline Highway 

No offense to favorite Ashford, but the other nominees in this category do a lot more than just ballet dance. Julie White is my pick for this one. 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Kristin Chenoweth, On the Twentieth Century
Leanne Cope, An American in Paris
Beth Malone, Fun Home
Kelli O’Hara, The King and I
Chita Rivera, The Visit 

Will Win: Chita Rivera, The Visit

Is there a chance for a four way tie in this category?....please?!?!?! O'Hara, being her 6th nod, deserves one for her truly beautiful performance, but Chenoweth carries On the Twentieth Century. Then there is the utter awe inspiring turn from Beth Malone. However, my bet is on Rivera, Tony voters like "moments" and watching a living legend accept an award for her last performance, which happens to be fantastic, is certainly going to be a moment to see. Plus her win at the Drama League is a pretty good prognosticator. 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Michael Cerveris, Fun Home
Robert Fairchild, An American in Paris
Brian d’Arcy James, Something Rotten!
Ken Watanabe, The King and I
Tony Yazbeck, On the Town 

Will Win: Michael Cerveris, Fun Home

For one of the most brilliant individual performances in a while, look to see Cerveris take this one and put his face on the Mt. Rushmore of Broadway's All Time Leading Men. 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

Geneva Carr, Hand to God
Helen Mirren, The Audience
Elisabeth Moss, The Heidi Chronicles
Carey Mulligan, Skylight
Ruth Wilson, Constellations

Will Win: Helen Mirren, The Audience

Another tough call, because Carr, Mulligan and Wilson would win this in any other year. But I have a feeling all three will bow to the Queen in this one. 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Steven Boyer, Hand to God
Bradley Cooper, The Elephant Man
Ben Miles, Wolf Hall: Parts One & Two
Bill Nighy, Skylight
Alex Sharp, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time

Will Win: Steven Boyer, Hand to God

Can we request a tie in this one as well for Alex Sharp? 

Best Revival of a Musical

The King and I
On the Town
On the Twentieth Century

Will Win: On the Twentieth Century

King and I might be the favorite, but something has to be said about a revival remarked as vastly superior to the original production. 

Best Revival of a Play

The Elephant Man
Skylight
This Is Our Youth
You Can’t Take It with You 

Will Win: You Can't Take It With You

The type of play that appeals to Tony voters: strong cast, mass appeal, great overall production. 

Best Play

The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Disgraced
Hand to God
Wolf Hall: Parts One & Two

Will Win: Hand to God

Are you ready for the shock of the night? While I wouldn't bet the house on this one, Hand to God is poised for an upset. 

Best Musical

An American in Paris
Fun Home
Something Rotten!
The Visit

Will Win: Fun Home

Shows like Fun Home don't come around much. It's deep, heartbreaking and not just moving audiences, it's changing the way we view what musical theatre can be. It would be a shame for Tony voters not to realize that. 

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