My Predictions for the 2025 Tony Award Nominations

by Chris Peterson, OnStage Blog Founder

We’re just one day away from the 2025 Tony Award nominations. I’ve made peace with the fact that my predictions will be partially wrong, wildly biased, and fueled by nothing but vibes and obsessive scrolling. But hey, that’s tradition.

This season has been bold, offbeat, and chaotic in the best possible way. Some shows were small and searing, others big and bombastic, and a few somehow managed both. Here are my predictions for some of the categories for who’ll be called tomorrow morning—and a shoutout in each category to someone who should be in the mix, even if they’re not on voters’ radar.

best director of a play:

  • David Cromer – Good Night, and Good Luck

  • Sam Pinkleton – Oh, Mary!

  • Sam Mendes – The Hills of California

  • Knud Adams – English

  • Danya Taymor – John Proctor Is the Villain

Honorable Mention:

  • Leigh Silverman – Yellow Face

best director of a musical:

  • Michael Arden – Maybe Happy Ending

  • David Cromer – Dead Outlaw

  • Jamie Lloyd – Sunset Blvd.

  • Christopher Gattelli – Death Becomes Her

  • George C. Wolfe – Gypsy

Honorable Mention:

  • Alex Timbers - Just in Time

best featured actress in a play:

  • Kara Young – Purpose

  • Jessica Hecht – Eureka Day

  • Bianca Leigh – Oh, Mary!

  • Leanne Best – The Hills of California

  • Amalia Yoo – John Proctor Is the Villain

Honorable Mention:

  • Mare Winningham – Cult of Love

best feautred actor in a play:

  • Clark Gregg – Good Night, and Good Luck

  • Gabriel Ebert – John Proctor Is the Villain

  • Francis Jue – Yellow Face

  • Kieran Culkin – Glengarry Glen Ross

  • Bob Odenkirk – Glengarry Glen Ross

Honorable Mention:

  • Bill Irwin – Eureka Day

best featured actress in a musical:

  • Joy Woods – Gypsy

  • Michelle Williams – Death Becomes Her

  • Bernadette Peters – Old Friends

  • Natasha Hodgson – Operation Mincemeat

  • Natalie Venetia Belcon – Buena Vista Social Club

Honorable Mention:

  • Justina Machado – Real Women Have Curves

best featured actor in a musical:

  • Jak Malone – Operation Mincemeat

  • Danny Burstein – Gypsy

  • Christopher Sieber – Death Becomes Her

  • David Thaxton – Sunset Blvd.

  • Thom Sesma – Dead Outlaw

Honorable Mention:

  • Brooks Ashmanskas – Smash

Best actress in a play:

  • Sarah Snook – The Picture of Dorian Gray

  • Laura Donnelly – The Hills of California

  • Sadie Sink – John Proctor Is the Villain

  • LaTanya Richardson Jackson – Purpose

  • Mia Farrow – The Roommate

Honorable Mention:

  • Marjan Neshat – English

best actor in a play:

  • Cole Escola – Oh, Mary!

  • Jake Gyllenhaal – Othello

  • Jon Michael Hill – Purpose

  • Louis McCartney – Stranger Things: The First Shadow

  • George Clooney – Good Night, and Good Luck

Honorable Mention:

  • Daniel Dae Kim – Yellow Face

best actress in a musical:

  • Audra McDonald – Gypsy

  • Helen J Shen – Maybe Happy Ending

  • Jasmine Amy Rogers – Boop! The Musical

  • Megan Hilty – Death Becomes Her

  • Jennifer Simard – Death Becomes Her

Honorable Mention:

  • Nicole Scherzinger – Sunset Blvd.

best actor in a musical:

  • Darren Criss – Maybe Happy Ending

  • Tom Francis – Sunset Blvd.

  • Jeremy Jordan – Floyd Collins

  • Andrew Durand – Dead Outlaw

  • Jonathan Groff – Just in Time

Honorable Mention:

  • David Hyde Pierce – Pirates! The Penzance Musical

best play revival:

  • Eureka Day

  • Glengarry Glen Ross

  • Our Town

  • Yellow Face

Honorable Mention:

  • Othello

best musical revival:

  • Gypsy

  • Sunset Boulevard

  • Floyd Collins

Honorable Mention:

  • Once Upon a Mattress

best play:

  • Oh, Mary!

  • The Hills of California

  • English

  • Purpose

  • John Proctor Is the Villain

Honorable Mention:

  • Good Night, and Good Luck

best musical:

  • Dead Outlaw

  • Operation Mincemeat

  • Maybe Happy Ending

  • Death Becomes Her

  • Real Women Have Curves

Honorable Mention:

  • BOOP! The Musical

We’ll see how it all shakes out when the nominations are announced tomorrow morning. Will Broadway go bold, traditional, or somewhere in between? With a season this rich in talent and variety, there are bound to be a few surprises—and a few snubs that sting. Either way, it’s an exciting snapshot of where theater is right now. Let the debates (and celebrations) begin.

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